IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SE Louisiana
Southland
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.5	#319
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.0	#38
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#303

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.7	#320

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	2.7%	1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.1	15.5	15.8

.500 or above	7.4%	18.2%	4.8%
.500 or above in Conference	32.2%	46.9%	28.8%
Conference Champion	1.7%	3.6%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	14.7%	8.2%	16.3%

First Four	0.7%	1.0%	0.6%
First Round	0.9%	2.2%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Away) - 19.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 7	1 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 9	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	227	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	70-79	19%
Nov 28, 2020	131	@ UAB	L	65-80	8%
Nov 30, 2020	30	@ LSU	L	70-95	1%
Dec 01, 2020	141	UC Santa Barbara	L	66-78	14%
Dec 04, 2020	271	@ California Baptist	L	76-83	26%
Dec 09, 2020	109	@ Louisiana Tech	L	66-84	6%
Dec 12, 2020	135	@ Missouri St.	L	69-84	9%
Dec 15, 2020	78	@ Texas A&M	L	60-81	4%
Dec 21, 2020	136	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	72-87	9%
Dec 23, 2020	316	@ Grambling St.	L	73-76	39%
Dec 29, 2020	236	@ Lamar	L	72-81	22%
Jan 02, 2021	303	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	73-72	51%
Jan 06, 2021	246	Sam Houston St.	L	79-81	42%
Jan 09, 2021	234	@ Nicholls St.	L	73-82	22%
Jan 16, 2021	173	@ Abilene Christian	L	68-81	14%
Jan 20, 2021	306	@ McNeese St.	L	77-82	33%
Jan 23, 2021	283	Northwestern St.	L	82-83	49%
Jan 27, 2021	285	Central Arkansas	L	84-85	48%
Jan 30, 2021	312	New Orleans	W	81-79	55%
Feb 10, 2021	246	@ Sam Houston St.	L	76-84	25%
Feb 13, 2021	234	Nicholls St.	L	76-79	41%
Feb 17, 2021	303	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	70-75	33%
Feb 20, 2021	173	Abilene Christian	L	71-78	29%
Feb 24, 2021	306	McNeese St.	W	80-79	53%
Feb 27, 2021	283	@ Northwestern St.	L	79-86	30%
Mar 03, 2021	285	@ Central Arkansas	L	81-88	29%
Mar 06, 2021	312	@ New Orleans	L	78-82	36%
Projected Record						7 - 20	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.1		1.6	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	0.8	1.0	0.9	0.3	0.0			3.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.2	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0				4.3	3rd
4th									0.1	1.3	2.5	1.2	0.1	0.0					5.3	4th
5th								0.0	1.1	2.9	1.6	0.2	0.0						5.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.8	3.4	2.6	0.4	0.0							7.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	3.6	3.5	0.7	0.0								8.3	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.6	4.7	1.2	0.1									9.1	8th
9th					0.3	2.5	4.8	2.3	0.1										10.0	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	2.2	5.2	3.1	0.4	0.0										11.3	10th
11th		0.1	0.6	2.6	5.2	3.8	0.6	0.0											12.8	11th
12th	0.1	1.2	3.6	4.7	2.9	0.7	0.0												13.2	12th
13th	0.9	2.4	2.7	1.6	0.4	0.0													7.9	13th

Total	1.0	3.6	6.8	9.3	10.9	12.7	11.5	11.9	9.4	7.7	5.9	3.9	2.4	1.7	0.7	0.4	0.1			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-1	90.7%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-2	57.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0
13-3	28.1%	0.5		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-4	11.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-5	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0							0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.6%	1.6		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		40.7%	40.7%		14.2														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-1	0.4%		24.7%	24.7%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-2	0.7%		21.4%	21.4%		15.7																0.0	0.1	0.5
13-3	1.7%		16.5%	16.5%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	1.4
12-4	2.4%		9.9%	9.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	2.2
11-5	3.9%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																0.0	0.2	3.7
10-6	5.9%		1.8%	1.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	5.8
9-7	7.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.7
8-8	9.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	9.4
7-9	11.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
6-10	11.5%																							11.5
5-11	12.7%																							12.7
4-12	10.9%																							10.9
3-13	9.3%																							9.3
2-14	6.8%																							6.8
1-15	3.6%																							3.6
0-16	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	1.0	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%